Three Sectors, One Flood Zone
Toyota, Nike, and Procter & Gamble span automotive, athletic wear, and household goods — but their supply chains converge in the same climate-vulnerable corridor
The Setup
Consider a portfolio with the following stocks in it:
Key Insight
Toyota's top supplier Denso, P&G's biggest Asian factory, and 15 Nike contract factories all sit within 60km of each other near Chachoengsao — the same central Thailand flood zone (8.5/10) that caused $46.5B in cross-sector damage in 2011. Kindino scores this as 6.8 expected annual disruption days per facility.
What Kindino Found
Summary
A classic diversified portfolio — one automaker, one athletic brand, one consumer staple. Three different sectors, three different business models. But Kindino analysis reveals Toyota's critical supplier Denso, Procter & Gamble's largest Asian manufacturing plant, and 15 of Nike's contract factories are all concentrated in the same flood-prone corridor of central Thailand — scoring 8.5/10 for flood risk. Meanwhile, Nike's largest footwear manufacturing base (80 factories) and P&G's Binh Duong production facility cluster in the same flood zone around Ho Chi Minh City, scoring 9.6/10. The 2011 Thailand floods destroyed $46.5 billion across sectors simultaneously — an investor holding all three saw correlated losses that sector diversification was supposed to prevent.
Top Co-Located Facilities
| Supplier | Location | Affected Holdings | Top Hazard | Expected Disruption | Interaction Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denso Thailand | Chachoengsao, Thailand | TM | flood8.5/10 | 6.8 days/yr | 17.0 |
| P&G Wellgrow Plant | Chachoengsao, Thailand | PG | flood8.5/10 | 6.8 days/yr | 17.0 |
| Pou Chen / Pouyuen | Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam | NKE | flood9.6/10 | 9.8 days/yr | 19.6 |
Risk Clusters
Central Thailand Flood Cluster
Chachoengsao / Greater Bangkok • flood
Southern Vietnam Flood Cluster
Ho Chi Minh City / Binh Duong • flood
Methodology
Climate hazard scores computed by the Kindino engine using Open-Meteo CMIP6 flood projections (SSP2-4.5), USGS earthquake catalog, and IBTrACS cyclone data — all tier_1 (API, coordinate-level) quality. Supply chain relationships from public SEC filings, Nike Manufacturing Map (528 factories), and known facility disclosures. Geographic clustering identified by mapping all supplier facilities within 100km radius zones and cross-referencing with portfolio holdings. Expected Annual Disruption Days calculated using probability × duration model calibrated to historical events. Facility coordinates geocoded via Nominatim (OpenStreetMap).
Run this analysis on your own portfolio
Join the waitlist to get early access to Kindino and discover the hidden concentration risk in your holdings.
Join the Waitlist