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Three Sectors, One Flood Zone

Toyota, Nike, and Procter & Gamble span automotive, athletic wear, and household goods — but their supply chains converge in the same climate-vulnerable corridor

The Setup

Consider a portfolio with the following stocks in it:

TM Toyota
PG Procter & Gamble
NKE Nike

Key Insight

Toyota's top supplier Denso, P&G's biggest Asian factory, and 15 Nike contract factories all sit within 60km of each other near Chachoengsao — the same central Thailand flood zone (8.5/10) that caused $46.5B in cross-sector damage in 2011. Kindino scores this as 6.8 expected annual disruption days per facility.

What Kindino Found

288
Suppliers Mapped
4
Co-Located Facilities
2
Risk Clusters
2.2x
Concentration

Summary

A classic diversified portfolio — one automaker, one athletic brand, one consumer staple. Three different sectors, three different business models. But Kindino analysis reveals Toyota's critical supplier Denso, Procter & Gamble's largest Asian manufacturing plant, and 15 of Nike's contract factories are all concentrated in the same flood-prone corridor of central Thailand — scoring 8.5/10 for flood risk. Meanwhile, Nike's largest footwear manufacturing base (80 factories) and P&G's Binh Duong production facility cluster in the same flood zone around Ho Chi Minh City, scoring 9.6/10. The 2011 Thailand floods destroyed $46.5 billion across sectors simultaneously — an investor holding all three saw correlated losses that sector diversification was supposed to prevent.

Top Co-Located Facilities

SupplierLocationAffected HoldingsTop HazardExpected DisruptionInteraction Risk
Denso ThailandChachoengsao, Thailand
TM
flood8.5/10
6.8 days/yr17.0
P&G Wellgrow PlantChachoengsao, Thailand
PG
flood8.5/10
6.8 days/yr17.0
Pou Chen / PouyuenHo Chi Minh City, Vietnam
NKE
flood9.6/10
9.8 days/yr19.6

Risk Clusters

Central Thailand Flood Cluster

Chachoengsao / Greater Bangkokflood

2.5x
concentration
Affected Holdings
TMNKEPG
Shared Suppliers
Denso Thailand, P&G Wellgrow Plant, Nike Thailand factories (15 within 100km)
Naive Risk: 8.5
Adjusted: 21.3

Southern Vietnam Flood Cluster

Ho Chi Minh City / Binh Duongflood

2x
concentration
Affected Holdings
NKEPG
Shared Suppliers
Pou Chen / Pouyuen, P&G Binh Duong Plant, Nike HCMC factories (80 within 100km)
Naive Risk: 9.6
Adjusted: 19.2

Methodology

Climate hazard scores computed by the Kindino engine using Open-Meteo CMIP6 flood projections (SSP2-4.5), USGS earthquake catalog, and IBTrACS cyclone data — all tier_1 (API, coordinate-level) quality. Supply chain relationships from public SEC filings, Nike Manufacturing Map (528 factories), and known facility disclosures. Geographic clustering identified by mapping all supplier facilities within 100km radius zones and cross-referencing with portfolio holdings. Expected Annual Disruption Days calculated using probability × duration model calibrated to historical events. Facility coordinates geocoded via Nominatim (OpenStreetMap).

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